Description

This analysis provides a forecast of BTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 99282.447973 104625.877262 109963.690870 115692.468224 121663.182223 127699.003810 134258.204681
2025-09-21 90206.600003 98366.864203 106741.931211 115969.215734 125839.185449 136069.186684 147462.919913
2025-09-28 83663.417322 93739.170686 104303.019308 116182.491914 129146.879684 142843.397286 158384.745395
2025-10-05 79766.537959 91403.405772 103820.447135 118019.651746 133769.885866 150667.438031 170128.383962
2025-10-12 76431.968483 89325.111162 103295.643812 119505.035239 137738.934199 157560.265825 180679.324191
2025-10-19 73190.838085 87084.944529 102351.315610 120297.617779 140740.565687 163225.347206 189746.757802
2025-10-26 69978.058408 84664.950981 101012.551895 120463.594534 142877.695571 167795.972123 197488.983257
2025-11-02 67312.646938 82714.936528 100065.655421 120941.634056 145253.668374 172547.528792 205374.202385
2025-11-09 64630.434416 80605.880448 98808.961076 120943.039432 146978.833859 176477.514287 212264.873436
2025-11-16 62877.175133 79499.061423 98638.633974 122137.509601 150031.234104 181899.426459 220865.689147
2025-11-23 60557.847409 77612.042533 97454.402737 122049.162927 151505.300371 185433.622588 227236.667651
2025-11-30 59338.627220 76993.565237 97729.391010 123653.703528 154952.514847 191267.506114 236317.498466
2025-12-07 57847.628576 76005.262174 97536.095951 124689.067028 157736.970765 196362.950927 244607.476479
2025-12-14 55993.616733 74502.920251 96662.173218 124851.372143 159437.555738 200156.215965 251358.822707
2025-12-21 54273.585819 73104.264331 95858.655311 125048.562606 161140.654942 203929.153956 258082.543133
2025-12-28 53520.401014 72889.041966 96489.582116 126992.892641 164970.066075 210273.024693 267937.448840
2026-01-04 52642.233958 72476.181770 96842.759890 128568.477512 168334.643295 216058.601965 277142.925108
2026-01-11 51472.865749 71645.832338 96634.058516 129409.555937 170768.896497 220703.737501 284971.370072
2026-01-18 50061.944630 70455.573099 95927.715912 129585.676014 172345.454144 224281.226903 291491.998664
2026-01-25 48871.266473 69514.922147 95505.837165 130093.111314 174316.783876 228337.741365 298612.340606
2026-02-01 47517.283373 68316.974626 94715.241137 130094.599464 175622.483857 231553.540289 304691.037528
2026-02-08 46770.221428 67902.798075 94919.988741 131362.466194 178531.572623 236776.681544 313296.234275
2026-02-15 45486.152745 66728.936692 94098.483987 131268.695228 179675.890187 239773.644445 319115.414270